November 03, 2004
WA Gov Race Headed For Recount?

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Brace yourself for 4 p.m., when, according to Dino Rossi (R) For Governor policy and communications director Mary Lane (to whom I just spoke), King County will release the tally of 100,000 absentee or otherwise uncounted ballots. Lane says King County will ALSO have another 250,000 uncounted ballots to tote up after that, which could take another day or two (I'm guessing). Though Christine Gregoire (D) has been carrying (and will carry) King County strongly over Rossi, Lane says all Rossi needs is to come out at 41 percent in King County to hold his slim lead overall.

I hope I'm wrong, but with the two candidates in a virtual dead heat, and King County going so heavily for Gregoire, I'd have to think another 350K uncounted ballots from King could swing it to her. If so, everyone better remember to heap abuse on the Libertarian candidate Ruth Bennett (or more precisely, her party) whose feel-good exercise in civics and utterly fruitless brand-building (along with their two percent of the vote) will have cost the GOP the Governor's mansion.

There are OTHER uncounted ballots from counties outside King to be tallied as well, some 350K to 650K more, according to some estimates.

UPDATE 1:06 PM, PST: In an e-mail responding to this post, Lane remarks:

Right now we're happy with the way things are going in King (Dino's doing well in non-Seattle King County), and we're expecting good things from other counties across the state. Remember, Dino's poll numbers started going up late last week and through the weekend, so we expect the later absentee counts to trend Dino's way.

Good to hear from you Mary, thanks.

UPDATE 5:07 PM, PST. 100K King County absentees stirred into the mix have yielded a 15,496 vote lead for Gregoire at the moment, out of more than 1.93 million counted so far. Hundreds of thousands more to come, many from climes less hospitable for Gregoire than King County, which she carried strongly.

Here's the vote tally link.

Talk about too close to call! FYI, an automatic recount is triggered if the final victory margin is less than half a percentage point. We could be headed that way.

Posted by Matt Rosenberg at November 03, 2004 11:00 AM | Email This
Comments
1. Afton Swift is campaign manager for Rossi. Mary Lane is the policy director.

Posted by: Jack A. on November 3, 2004 11:12 AM
2. Thanks Matt. It seems as if Pierce is overwhelmingly going Rossi and if memory serves, Pierce pierced Sen. Slade Gorton for my hero Sen. Maria Cantwell. Let's hope we pierce that ogre again.

Posted by: Josef on November 3, 2004 11:13 AM
3. Here's the regs for a statewide recount:

News Release
Issued: November 02, 2004


Olympia … Rules for a mandatory recount are as follows:

The margin of difference must be less than 2,000 votes AND less than ½ of 1% of the total votes cast for both candidates.

No mandatory request can be ordered or requested until after the Secretary of State’s Office certifies returns.

December 2 is the last day for the Secretary of State to certify the general election returns.
http://www.secstate.wa.gov/office/osos_news.aspx?i=AJhF1mmxORsraVQEZ1CCPA%3d%3d

Hope this helps further the dialogue.

Posted by: Josef on November 3, 2004 11:51 AM
4. What in the world makes you think that the voters for Ruth Bennett -- an out lesbian who promoted gay marriage equality as her main campaign issue -- would have voted for Rossi if she weren't in the race?

Ruth probably took more votes from Gregoire! This state hasn't seen a Republican governor in 20 years, if Rossi loses, Ruth probably just kept him from losing by more.

Posted by: Jacqueline on November 3, 2004 11:03 PM
5. What makes me think that is that most people who vote Libertarian, as I suspect you know, believe in very small, or no government, and this is typically much closer to Republican values and positions than those of Democrats.

Posted by: Matt R. on November 4, 2004 12:44 AM
6. Republicans like to *say* that they're small government, but when was the last time they actually demonstrated that?

Posted by: Jacqueline on November 4, 2004 02:49 PM
7. Jackie,

I have to apologize to some extent. It seems as if your gubernatorial candidate was aiming at Dems and if memory serves, Rossi ducked the gay issue by mentioning her.

As far as Republicans being for smaller government, well back in the day of Congressman Scarborough and the like - Republicans were real deal small c conservatives. Joe Scarborough for Prez in 2008!

Posted by: Josef on November 5, 2004 08:07 AM
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