April 16, 2007
Global Warming Update (XXIV)

More evidence of environmental and economic devastation attributable to man-made global warming:

Lobsters have rarely been as scarce or expensive as they have been in the last few weeks, thanks to a confluence of bad weather, extremely cold water and a lack of reserve supply.
...
Although spring is traditionally a slow season for lobstermen and the time when prices are the highest, this season is shaping up to be one of the worst in a generation.
...
Unseasonably cold spring weather has lowered water temperatures about six degrees, too cold for lobsters to want to feed, Dr. Bayer said.
I'm grateful to our visionary political leaders for doing something, anything, to try to cool the planet down.

Posted by Stefan Sharkansky at April 16, 2007 05:27 PM | Email This
Comments
1. Oh great, yet another thread DM will hijack. I was having a good day.

Posted by: TrueSoldier on April 16, 2007 05:26 PM
2. True Soldier: Enjoy it while it lasts! ;)

Posted by: PeggyU on April 16, 2007 05:50 PM
3. Algore, call your office.

Posted by: Michele on April 16, 2007 06:00 PM
4. Stefan, we get it. Some people latch onto any trivial example of localized above-normal temperatures as evidence of global warming. They're stupid, we know. We already knew.

Doing the opposite isn't funny or insightful - unless you really believe that localized below-normal temperatures are evidence against global warming. We know you don't, because you've said as much.

This joke is stale, stale, stale, stale, stale, stale, staler than stale. Staler than Hillary. Stale stale stale. Blah. I'm sick of seeing such pseudoscience even in an ironic context. It's deeply boring and you're better than that.

Posted by: booooooring on April 16, 2007 06:01 PM
5. The point of pointing out trivial examples of localized extremes is to show that the mainstream press will produce stories supportive of global warming on, for example, unseasonably hot days but not show a skepticism of global warming on unseasonably cold days. While I believe neither occasion confirms anything nor deserve stories based upon them, consistency does equal credibility.

Posted by: Tim on April 16, 2007 06:11 PM
6. Hats off to Tim as he sunk the 16 penny nail with one swing.
Weren't we all told that Katrina was because of too many SUVs and the next year would be worse.
Look Ma, no worse.
And the droughts in the heartland were supposed to be the same rerason. I wonder how the dustbowl came out of it 70 years ago.
Forest fires and all, it's GM's Hummer to blame.
How did Cheruiyot endure all that warming in the marathon today??

Posted by: PC on April 16, 2007 06:29 PM
7.
As an Actual Scientician(TM), I found the first few of these posts clever and funny.

The 24th time, it looks like you have nothing new to say and you're just filling space - or you actually believe that the odd news story about cooler-than-usual temperature invalidates global warming any more than the reverse.

Either way, it looks stupid and you're too smart for that, Stefan. You should know the rule of three.

Posted by: booooooring on April 16, 2007 06:38 PM
8. Hello Everyone,

The United States military takes climate change seriously:

National Security and the Threat of Climate Change

The report is 68 pages long. I encourage you to read it all.

"Carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are greater now than at any time in the past 650,000 years, and average global temperature has continued a steady rise. This rise presents the prospect of significant climate change, and while
uncertainty exists and debate continues regarding the science and future extent
of projected climate changes, the trends are clear."

and ... of special relevance to me ...

"Flooding could increase with sea level rises, especially in the low-lying areas of North America—inundation models from the University
of Arizona project that a sea level rise of three feet would cause much of Miami, Fort Myers, a large portion of the Everglades, and all of the Florida Keys to disappear [31]."

***

The authors of the report are all three- and four-star generals, not scientists.

Our President may not take this issue seriously, but at least our military does.

Posted by: David Mathews on April 16, 2007 07:52 PM
9. Once again: where in this article does it make any mention to global warming?

It actually insinuates quite the opposite Stefan, in claiming a confluence circumstances as the cause of the problem.

Talk about making up a media conspiracy that isn't there.

Posted by: Daniel K on April 16, 2007 07:58 PM
10. Oh my god it was cold somewhere do global warming is a myth, Glad to see that climatology degree is playing off Stefan... Oh wait

Posted by: Giffy on April 16, 2007 09:09 PM
11. "Oh my god it was cold somewhere do global warming is a myth, Glad to see that climatology degree is playing off Stefan... Oh wait "


Glad to see that your climatology degree is paying of Giffy... oh wait....


Glad to see Al Gore's climatology degree is paying off... oh wait...

Posted by: pbj on April 16, 2007 09:33 PM
12. Mathews is so full of shit it is funny!
global average temperature is probably about 0.6 degrees Celsius- or 1 degree Fahrenheit- higher than a century ago (2) atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) have risen by 30% over the past two hundred years; and (3) CO2 is a green house gas that all humans exhale so I wish he could shut his disingenuous mouth and save the world and stop spewing bull shit another green house gas!

It has been warmer in the past! why do you think they called "Greenland" because of the melting ice? No fool because it used to be green where sheep used to graze.

This guy is a real quack! Lies just like his father Chris Mathews on MSNBC.

Posted by: HW on April 16, 2007 10:53 PM
13. So, booooring, then how come you're still reading it?

Posted by: Michele on April 16, 2007 11:12 PM
14. Hello HW,

> It has been warmer in the past! why do you think they called "Greenland" because of the melting ice? No fool because it used to be green where sheep used to graze.

What astonishes me is that conservatives really do believe that they know something about the climate which has somehow escaped the attention of all those Ph.D. climatologists.

If you spent any time actually reading the science you would learn that the climate scientists know a lot more than you imagine, a lot more than you will ever know.

Conservatives exhibit a common error in arguments of this sort. Creationists make the same mistake:

They point to one bit of common-knowledge evidence, interpret it incorrectly as contradicting the conclusions of science, conclude that the issue is thereby settled, and stop thinking about the subject.

The scientists know Greenland's history ... hundreds of thousands of years of Greenland's history.

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 05:38 AM
15. Think I'll go buy TWO Hummers... that way the water will warm up and I can have all the lobsters I want. Yes that's the ticket! (-:

Posted by: Army Medic/Vet on April 17, 2007 06:34 AM
16. I understand the point that Stephan is making.

Local weather broadcasters seem to have an agenda of mentioning global warming every time the temperature rises above the average. It seems like there is a policy of trying to get and keep this in front of the public. Its a shame when nature itself doesn't play along.

2 Years ago, the local weather suits were saying that the lowered rainfall (of that year) and reduced snowpack were a result of global warming as well, and were starting to move towards saying that we would have to deal with more of it in the future... now that we've had two years of excessive rainfall, they're saying that the extra rainfall is being caused by global warming. So which is it? Colder temperatures? Warmer Temperatures? More rainfall? Less rainfall? Its getting so that "Climate Change" means nothing more than weather conditions that are not "average".

My guess is that they've got several hundred "models" that they're picking and choosing from, and then giving us the "worst case scenarios" from the models.

I think Stephan's posts are good for giving us perspective - its also telling to see that the lefties don't get it... and have their panties in such a twist trying to get Stephan to stop.

Posted by: thecomputerguy on April 17, 2007 08:37 AM
17. Anything that riles up fools and causes rational people to question unscientific dogma is a good start.

And turnabout is fair play.

Posted by: Jeff B. on April 17, 2007 09:01 AM
18. Looks like SP can't get away from throwing out the dragnet to capture the vitreol, propaganda and half-truths from "alligator bait Matthews".

Even though the argument is not over, and #14 seems to continually get conservatives confused with liberals, it's time to go dump the garbage and let others waste their precious time on this particular post.

Posted by: KS on April 17, 2007 10:34 AM
19. KS:

We should do what we can to encourage discussion of this topic.

The only problem I have is when posters (on either side of the issue) ignore good evidence in favor of ad-hominem attacks, then go off on rediculous tangents that lead nowhere - best advice is that if you're going to answer them, try to at least steer the discussion back to the orignal post. Another thing I've started doing is to wait until the thread has been up for a very long time - that way you can answer their issues, and not run the risk of derailing an active conversation.

Shutting down people who disagree with you is what the MSM does, and its wrong ... but I do agree that more than a few trolls that we see seem to want to take the discussion on a magical mystery ride...

Posted by: thecomputerguy on April 17, 2007 01:17 PM
20. Dimwit-Mathews,
I been posting here and have seen nothing that you post that makes any since except for your constant deformation of the posts that have some validity which your comments and opinions are factually unsound and have NO science to back them up! Put up or shut up and reduce the CO2 that exhaust from the noxious gas that you exhale.

Post some liberal proof or anything that makes any since!!

Posted by: HW on April 17, 2007 01:25 PM
21. Hello HW,

> post that makes any since ... Post some liberal proof or anything that makes any since!!

"since" doesn't appear appropriate in post #20. Did you have some other word in mind?

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 01:44 PM
22. Denny Dimwit-Mathews,
One of the solutions to prevent global warming is to use the "Mercury Vapor" screw in lights to replace the incandescent light bulbs. The mercury light has 5 milligrams of mercury in every bulb. Drop one and break it and you will have to call out the "Hazardous Material" people to collect the poison mercury. What do you think will happen to the garbage? It will go in the land fill and poison our water supply. Really well thought out! This is NOT to mention the Chinese coal fired factory that puts out CFC's another green house gas.

You are such a nitwit! By the way I am not a conservative or a liberal but an independent thinker not a "parrot" like you!! Go play with the gators young one!!

Posted by: HW on April 17, 2007 01:47 PM
23. Hello HW,

Ok, so you don't like "Mercury Vapor" lights ...

What are you willing to sacrifice on behalf of reducing your impact upon the environment?

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 02:28 PM
24. Actually, he's talking about CF bulbs, not actualy mercury vapor lamps (which I think are used more for streetlights)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compact_fluorescent_lamp#Environmental_issues

Compact Florescent bulbs use a small amount of mercury, and are an enviromental concern in landfills.

I use CF bulbs myself. My recommendation is to buy a box of them, and as they wear out, put them back in the original box in a way that you know that they're used up (I put a little tape on the old ones), then take them to a recycling station. For the most part, I believe recycling of these does not cost the consumer (or a very small charge), and the mercury can be reused. YMMV.

L.E.D's are also beginning to show up as light sources, and they are even more efficient than CF bulbs...

But again, we're getting way off topic here...

But must we go off topic?

Posted by: thecomputerguy on April 17, 2007 03:16 PM
25. Hello thecomputerguy,

> But must we go off topic?

I'd love to stay on topic and would do so, but what is the topic of this discussion?

Let me tell you about the weather:

On Sunday night about 3 am I turned the heater on because it was 60 degrees and I found that temperature incompatible with me falling to sleep. Since 7 am on Monday morning I haven't needed the air conditioner or heater at all.

In other words: Beautiful Spring Florida weather. Blue sky and sunshine.

Today was a productive day, too: I visited Boyd Hill Nature Park and happened to find a tremendous diversity of wildlife: 8 alligators, two pileated woodpeckers, one wild eagle, two hawks, a half-dozen ospreys, a snake in the grass, and plenty of flying insects.

Then while driving around town I happened to discover a national guard armory. I took a picture of a tent but the sargent got a little stressed and insisted that I delete that photo. Oh well.

So I moved on and went to Clam Bayou Park and happened to find a great Blue Heron, night heron, three parrots, two woodpeckers, and a flock of ibises there.

After walking all of these miles I drove home and happened to see a gasoline station selling regular gasoline for $2.92 a gallon.

The sun is in the process of setting now and the colors of the sunset always glorify the pine trees outside my window. Occasionally the sunrise glorifies these trees, too, but only when I wake up early enough to see it.

Tell me, then, what are we discussing in this thread? How is the weather in Seattle?

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 04:28 PM
26. YOU ARE THE FIRST SACRAFICE I WOULD MAKE! I would first get you off a once great educational site, second I could get some facts stated instead of non substantiated opinions, without any science related theory. This would be the start of a wonderful beginning to deal with the benefits of global warming!

Posted by: HW on April 17, 2007 04:48 PM
27. Hello HW,

> ... the benefits of global warming!

And those are ... ?

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 05:04 PM
28. Yes Denny Demwit's
Like faster growing plants and the best weather in the Pacific Northwest we have ever had; Increased growth of the trees that we are using here to discover alternative fuels for ethanol and new developments in bio-diesel. Global warming will require less fossil fuel to warm our homes, that should save a bunch, don't you think? We now have "wind farms" here in Washington, and in a shot time biomass, nuclear power (for political reasons of global warming) fusion fuel cells, ethanol, (which is causing the price of corn to sky rocket) carbon capture and storage (which will create new industries) efficiencies upgrades. These niche responses that can not replace current energy sources with out inflicting serious lifestyle degradations and cost increases. This "global warming agenda requires that ALL energy use must be dramatically curtailed, because as the 2002 Science magazine article noted, "CO2 is a combustion product vital to how civilization is powered: It can not be regulated anyway."

There are benefits to warming verses cooling that will kill you sooner rather later, Right?

Posted by: HW on April 17, 2007 06:04 PM
29. Hello HW,

These benefits sound really good to me.

Now, HW, supposing that we want to gain these benefits of global warming ... how shall we cause Global Warming to occur?

What are the most effective strategies to warm the planet?

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 06:12 PM
30. At the risk of setting off the AGW Religious oberservers, I was reading through the recent announcement by the Guv and found it quite appropriate that the top two (listed) members of her newly minted Climate Advisory Council are:

see: http://www.ecy.wa.gov/climatechange/cat_members.htm

1. Rod Brown, Washington Environmental Council
2. The Most Reverend Alexander J. Brunett, Archbishop of Seattle

If the subject were any more religious in nature I suppose they would have to make the Archbishop number 1.

A religious leader appointed to state sanctioned advisory board? Well there's a first time for everything.

Posted by: deadwood on April 17, 2007 06:15 PM
31. Hello deadwood,

Religion has something to say about this subject so why shouldn't a religious leader have a place on the advisory board?

For those who would like to gain a true appreciation of the often unseen and always unappreciated beauty of science:

M3 Variable Star Movies

The Universe is an extremely beautiful place. Too bad humans don't even notice its existence. Too much time spent shopping and watching television ...

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 06:23 PM
32. Denny Demwit's,
Harvard-Smithsonian astrophysicist Dr. Willie Soon wondered if solar activity might have some interesting relationship with Artic temperatures since his finding correlates to the CO2 and Artic temperature. Do you think the Sun might be associated with global warming?

You must think you are the only one that enjoys "God's great creations on earth and the wonderful universe he has created.

Grow up! We are all Americans. You act like a communist who wants to divide and conquer.

Posted by: HW on April 17, 2007 07:08 PM
33. Hello HW,

> Do you think the Sun might be associated with global warming?

Eh ... I suspect that the vast majority of climatologists have noticed the sun.

That's just a theory on my part.

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 07:51 PM
34. Opinion Denny Demwit's,

Posted by: HW on April 17, 2007 07:57 PM
35. Hello HW,

Given that the sun is pretty bright and pretty much appears daily in the sky, I suppose that it is something more than opinion.

Posted by: David Mathews on April 17, 2007 08:00 PM
36. You wouldn't know an opinion from a theory if it hit you up along side of the head!
I thought you believed CO2 Caused global warming? You know the stuff you exhale!

Posted by: HW on April 17, 2007 08:24 PM
37. Come on now - leave David alone. He's being civil, he hasn't called anybody a conservative neanderthal here, or even tried to run away with this thread... we should give him a chance - I for one believe you catch more flies with honey than you do with vinegar.

Anyway, I found the following op-ed in the Boston Globe to be interesting, and relevant to the original topic...

http://www.boston.com/news/globe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2007/04/15/doubting_doomsday/


Posted by: thecomputerguy on April 17, 2007 09:54 PM
38. thecomputerguy,
Thanks for the post!

Posted by: HW on April 17, 2007 10:31 PM
39. Hello thecomputerguy,

Jeff Jacoby is a shill.

Did you read the article carefully? Did you read what Richard Lindzen actually said:

"But to global-warming True Believers, Lindzen's essay is just one heresy after another. It suggests that "a warmer climate could prove to be more beneficial than the one we have now." That extreme weather events might actually be less likely in a warming world. That higher levels of CO2 could be a boon to agriculture. And that a warmer planet is preferable to a colder one."

In other words: Richard Lindzen believes in Global Warming. He thinks that it is a good thing.

From the Newsweek article, Why So Gloomy?

"There has been a net warming of the earth over the last century and a half, and our greenhouse gas emissions are contributing at some level.
Both of these statements are almost certainly true."

But the really absurd statement appears later:

"There is no compelling evidence that the warming trend we've seen will amount to anything close to catastrophe."

Well, locking your baby in your car on a hot summer day may not lead to catastrophe -- the baby might survive -- but that alone does not justify the reckless behavior.

"The conclusion of the late climate scientist Roger Revelle—Al Gore's supposed mentor—is worth pondering: the evidence for global warming thus far doesn't warrant any action unless it is justifiable on grounds that have nothing to do with climate."

Here is a good reason: Polluting the Earth is an inherently evil act.

And another good reason: The natural resources which make polluting the entire globe possible are finite and depleting fast.

Need any more?

Posted by: David Mathews on April 18, 2007 04:32 AM
40. Demwit is the shill!
I love the global warming and the obvious benefits that it has caused since the little Ice Age. If you compare today to, say, the 1970's it is warming.(About 1200 A.D. to the end of the nineteenth century) or two thousand years ago. Select many other base lines, for example, compare to the 1930's, or 1000 A.D.- or 1988- and it is presently cool. Cooling does paint a far more frightening picture given that another ice age would be truly catastrophic, while throughout history warming periods have always ushered in prosperity. Remember CO2 causes plants to grow. Maybe that is why the greens tried "global cooling" first.

Denny dimwit is too young to remember the cooling that took place until the early seventies.

Demwit's your analogy regarding the kid lock in the car is as crazy as you seem to be!


Cooling is not pleasant but this global warming is really showing some positive benefits to all breathing humans on earth.

I did read in the MSM today that ethanol is going to pollute more than the hydrocarbon refined gasoline but we can blame that on David Mathews and his ilk for the mandatory changes that they are causing without scientific examination or discussion of the negative results of the changes they are making!

The Computerguy, I think you can kill more bacteria with vinegar than you can with honey!!

Posted by: HW on April 18, 2007 12:17 PM
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