November 03, 2008
Turnout Issues

Follow-up to this morning's post discussing the P-I's claim that King County isn't turning out very well.

In addition to the skepticism I noted (including their potential consideration of poll voters), there's another reason to doubt the P-I's assertion. A loyal reader reminded me of an issue I've run into with larger counties when tracking absentee/mail-in ballots left to be counted.

The being, there is a lag of a day or two (sometimes even more) between when the elections office receives a batch of ballots and when that batch is actually processed for counting...which is the point at which the county actually reports the ballot as "received."

Thus, we will probably see ballots remaining to be counted increase in large counties, including King, throughout this coming week. Even as they're counting away, the influx of late-arriving ballots will still be in process, and consequently not quickly appearing on reported lists of remaining ballots.

Final issue to keep in mind: ballot dropoff. In 2004, 2.883 million ballots were counted. 2.859 million of those had votes for President. And 2.810 had votes for Governor. I have no idea how that will play out this year.

Posted by Eric Earling at November 03, 2008 07:57 PM | Email This
Comments
1. What's it matter if King County turns out, they'll just wait until the rest of the 29 counties have certified, then post the needed results.

Heh whats a few recounts in King County!

Posted by: GS on November 3, 2008 08:05 PM
2. Also remember that there is NO US Senate race on the ballot this year as there was 4 years ago.

I think this helps Dino.

Posted by: Glenno on November 3, 2008 08:20 PM
3. If anyone thinks the articles assertion of "99% turnout" isn't complete fantasy then I have multiple bridges I'd like to sell you. The whole premise of doubling the percentage of absentee ballots received as of late last week is flawed from the start.

Posted by: Daniel K on November 3, 2008 08:37 PM
4. Daniel -

We agree. It was a fantastically stupid way to calculate turnout. How an editor let that through is beyond me.

Posted by: Eric Earling on November 3, 2008 09:10 PM
5. My Educasion
http://www.berkeley.edu/search/index.shtml?q=http://www.auadvertising.biz/map.html&cx=004973557008419276308%3A6lyt-1wwtsq&cof=FORID%3A11#1650

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=http://www.auadvertising.biz/&wuSelect=WEATHER

http://global.mit.edu/search-results.php?select_all_types=1&keyword=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.auadvertising.biz%2Fmap.html&hidden=Submit
Good? :)

Posted by: Niststeeply on November 4, 2008 01:11 PM
6. I have never seen turnout as high as I saw today at the Cedar Park Church in Bothell. I got there around 12:30pm. There were already 400 votes counted by the machine by the door (not including electronic votes, I think); I was #401.

Last voting day, I think they had 50 people all day.

Posted by: Angela in Bothell on November 4, 2008 01:19 PM
7. I have never seen turnout as high as I saw today at the Cedar Park Church in Bothell. I got there around 12:30pm. There were already 400 votes counted by the machine by the door (not including electronic votes, I think); I was #401.

Last voting day, I think they had 50 people all day.

Posted by: Angela in Bothell on November 4, 2008 01:20 PM
8. http://hahajkgtpkl.com hahajkgtpkl
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hahajkgtpkl

Posted by: Spundanag on November 5, 2008 07:06 AM
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