February 05, 2010
Learning to Read the Mainstream Economic Press

CNN dutifully reports that "The government's monthly job report on Friday showed that the disastrous labor situation plaguing the nation's economy is moderating."

The facts: "The unemployment rate fell unexpectedly in January to 9.7%. And businesses shed 20,000 jobs for the month, far fewer than the 150,000 jobs that were lost in December."

So when CNN says the "unemployment rate fell unexpectedly," they mean "more people stopped looking for jobs than expected," obviously, because that's the only way you can lose jobs and still increase the percentage of the workforce that is employed.

And when CNN says that the situation is "moderating," they mean "still getting worse, but not getting worse as badly as before," obviously, because we're still losing jobs.

And when it says we lost far fewer jobs than in December, it also means we lost far more jobs than in November.

I hope that helps.

I'm actually not pessmistic about all this. I don't believe this is the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression (I still remember the 70s and 80s); I see a lot of fundamentally good things in the economy (which Obama also says ... now, even though he dishonestly attacked McCain for saying so in the campaign); and so on.

The thing that makes me most pessimistic is not where we are, but what we are doing: sowing the seeds for future crises by manipulating the market and drastically increasing debt and deficit, instead of letting the market actually work.

I guess this would be a good time to post this awesome rap video about Keynes and Hayek.

Cross-posted on <pudge/*>.

Posted by pudge at February 05, 2010 09:31 AM | Email This
Comments
1. As the 'market' is duly noting, discounting and weighing. :)

Posted by: Duffman on February 5, 2010 09:42 AM
2. The Reality is...There will be all kinds of Pumped Up numbers to show the Recession is easing. Especially, as we come into this next Election Cycle. The MSM and the Democrats will want to paint as Rosy as a picture as they can. However, try as they may, they will not be able to keep the illusion alive as the Ship continues to Sink. Come election time, the Liberals should lose Big. If the Liberals don't, you had better start planning to dig up your yard to plant your Survival Garden the coming Spring.

Posted by: Daniel on February 5, 2010 10:10 AM
3. That is a good video. Nice find, pudge.

Posted by: charlie on February 5, 2010 02:00 PM
4. My biggest lament is we had to wait 30+ years to get a mess as big as Jimmy Carter.

In spite of government intervention, the economy will recover.

Wall Street's just been having a fire sale. Buy low, sell high.

Posted by: Andy on February 5, 2010 02:26 PM
5. Interesting little factoid: if the Federal Budget was rolled back to that of 2007, we would have a $160 billion SURPLUS this year.

In just 3 years, we have gone from a $130 billion surplus to a $1.3 TRILLION deficit. A swing of $1.43 trillion dollars. And it's not from lower revenue; the revenue collected this year would give the 2007 budget levels a surplus!

It's the spending, stupid!

Posted by: Shanghai Dan on February 6, 2010 07:39 PM
6. Dan, that's not possible, because Obama said that he has had nothing to do with the deficit.

Posted by: pudge on February 6, 2010 09:01 PM
7. Oh, that's right... I forgot about that! Hard to keep up with which lies are current with this Administration...

Posted by: Shanghai Dan on February 7, 2010 09:25 AM
Post a comment
Name:


Email Address:


URL:


Comments:


Remember info?